Allan Lichtman Biography, Age, Height, Wife, 13 criteria, Net Worth, Photo, Career and News

 

Allan Lichtman Biography

Allan Jay Lichtman is an American political historian who teaches at American University in Washington, D.C. He is well known for predicting the election results for the president of the United States Presidential Election since 1984, including forecasting the 2016 U.S. Presidential Election remarkably early.

Allan Lichtman Age

Allan Lichtman is an American political historian who teaches at American University in Washington, D.C was born on April 4, 1947, in Brownsville, New York, NY. He is 73 years old as of 2019.

Allan Lichtman Height

Information concerning her height is still under research and will be updated when we come across details about his height.

Allan Lichtman Family

Lichtman was born in the Brownsville neighborhood of Brooklyn in New York City into a Jewish family. He graduated from Stuyvesant High School. Lichtman received his B.A. degree from Brandeis University in History in 1967 and graduated Phi Beta Kappa and Magna Cum Laude while also running track and wrestling for the school. Lichtman received his Ph.D. from Harvard University as a Graduate Prize Fellow in 1973, also in history

Allan Lichtman Wife

Wondering who is American politician married to, well, according to our research, he is married to his lovely wife Karyn Stickler. Details about their marriage have not been mentioned yet but it can be predicted that the couple is living a happy life as no rumors of divorce or extramarital affairs have stricken their relation.

Allan Lichtman Photo

Allan Lichtman Education

Talking about his educational background, he received his education from Stuyvesant High School and later earned his B.A. degree in History from Brandies University in 1967. Lichtman earned his Ph.D. from Harvard University.

Allan Lichtman Career

He began his professional career as a teacher in 1973 when he joined American University. He was a history teacher. In 1993, he was honored with the Scholar/Professor awards. Outside the classroom, Allan is a politician, a man renowned for predicting the winner of the US presidential elections. He is also a Civil rights expert witness who has been testified for 70 different cases by the US Department of Justice. He is a popular figure amongst other civil right groups such as NAACP, Southern Poverty Law Centre, the Mexican-American legal defense and education fund and Puerto Rican legal defense and education fund.

The 69 years old politician-historian served as an assistant to the U.S. Commission on Civil Rights while investigating voting irregularities in Florida in the 2000 elections. From his investigation, the 69 years old quoted that there were major racial disparities in ballot rejection rates. Though he knew that the votes of whites were more in comparison to the votes of the blacks, he made no objection and later he was harshly criticized for not taking action against such activity while voting

Allan Lichtman Net Worth

Unfortunately, details about his net worth are not disclosed but since he started his professional career as a teacher, He has accumulated numerous success and achievements. Currently, he is famed as the man who successfully predicted the outcome of the 2016 presidential election. Despite proclaiming the fame and the attention from the international media, details about him including his annual salary and his net worth, are not known. It is believed that he has a net worth in millions.

Allan Lichtman ‘s 13 criteria

1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the US House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2 Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
6. Long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.

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Allan Lichtman News

The man who predicted Trump’s victory says Democrats may have to impeach him to have a chance in 2020

(CNN)Allan Lichtman doesn’t mind swimming against the political tide.

Lichtman, a professor at American University in Washington, DC, was the most prominent voice predicting Donald Trump’s victory in the run-up to the 2016 election. When Trump won, it marked the 9th(!) straight presidential election where Lichtman had correctly predicted the Electoral College winner. (That’s all the way back to 1984, for you math wizards.)
In short: Lichtman is someone the political world should listen to. So I reached out to him on Tuesday to see what he thought of Trump’s current chances at a second term next November.
Here’s what he told me:
“Trump wins again in 2020 unless six of 13 key factors turn against him. I have no final verdict yet because much could change during the next year. Currently, the President is down only three keys: Republican losses in the midterm elections, the lack of a foreign policy success, and the president’s limited appeal to voters.”
Lichtman’s prediction system is based on 13 true/false statements about the party that holds the White House. If six or more of the statement are false, the incumbent loses. If less than six are false, the incumbent wins. Simple!
Here are Lichtman’s 13 criteria — via his book “Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2016” and as
summarized by WaPo’s Peter Stevenson:
1. Party Mandate: After the midterm elections, the incumbent party holds more seats in the US House of Representatives than after the previous midterm elections.
2 Contest: There is no serious contest for the incumbent party nomination.
3. Incumbency: The incumbent party candidate is the sitting president.
4. Third party: There is no significant third party or independent campaign.
5. Short-term economy: The economy is not in recession during the election campaign.
6. Long-term economy: Real per capita economic growth during the term equals or exceeds mean growth during the previous two terms.
7. Policy change: The incumbent administration effects major changes in national policy.
8. Social unrest: There is no sustained social unrest during the term.
9. Scandal: The incumbent administration is untainted by major scandal.
10. Foreign/military failure: The incumbent administration suffers no major failure in foreign or military affairs.
11. Foreign/military success: The incumbent administration achieves a major success in foreign or military affairs.
12. Incumbent charisma: The incumbent party candidate is charismatic or a national hero.
13. Challenger charisma: The challenging party candidate is not charismatic or a national hero.
Which brings me to the most intriguing — and outside-the-box — suggestion from my conversation with Lichtman: He believes Democrats in the House not only should be pushing to impeach Trump, but may need to in order for their nominee to win in 2020.
Again, here’s Lichtman:
“Democrats are fundamentally wrong about the politics of impeachment and their prospects for victory in 2020. An impeachment and subsequent trial would cost the president a crucial fourth key — the scandal key — just as it cost Democrats that key in 2000. The indictment and trial would also expose him to dropping another key by encouraging a serious challenge to his re-nomination. Other potential negative keys include the emergence of a charismatic Democratic challenger, a significant third-party challenge, a foreign policy disaster, or an election-year recession. Without impeachment, however, Democratic prospects are grim.”
Which is VERY counter to the conventional wisdom on impeachment espoused by Speaker Nancy Pelosi and other prominent Democrats. Their thinking is that by impeaching Trump, Democrats turn him into a victim — a role he relishes. And with the Republican-controlled Senate on record as planning to kill any impeachment attempt, most establishment Democrats view the whole thing very, very skeptically.
Of course, that view is informed by the moment — and the politics of it. Polling suggests most Americans don’t support impeachment and already believe Democrats have done enough investigating. Lichtman’s 13 factors, on the other hand, don’t deal in day-to-day politics or polling. They’re based in broad, structural concepts he developed by studying every presidential election from 1860-1980.
Who’s right? Who knows! But Lichtman’s success in predicting winners means Democrats shouldn’t simply ignore his advice on impeachment.
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